THE SKEPTIC: Multiplex's Lesson For 2012 Olympics
By Howard Wheeldon
A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMN
Multiplex's failure to keep Wembley Stadium costs in line with the ridiculous GBP445 million fixed-price contract it signed sends an important message to other would-be infrastructure contractors: get your prices right.
By the time it's finally finished later this year Wembley will have cost GBP775 million to build, with Multiplex forced to pick up most of the difference.
And you can bet your bottom dollar that those angling for contracts to build similar feats of engineering down the road in Stratford for the 2012 Olympics will use Multiplex's pain to vastly inflate the price of their bids.
Still, Mayor Ken Livingston and London's taxpayers have all got deep pockets, haven't they? So they'll surely be happy to pay for all those zillions of pounds set to be wasted on the London 2012 Olympics.
Of course, Multiplex could rightly put some of the blame for Wembley overruns on the Football Association, for changing specs. And it could certainly have a go at planning authorities and others for causing some of the delays. But there's no getting away from the fact that Multiplex seriously underpriced the contract, and failed to contain costs.
The lesson for would-be Olympic builders is don't go into fixed-price contracts. After all, when it comes to construction in Britain it often takes fifteen years to achieve what most countries seem able to manage in two or three.
Take Terminal 5 at Heathrow Airport. Though the builders have done very well despite suffering strikes, by the time the project is complete it will be eight years late.
That wasn't the fault of the builders. It was mainly the fault of obsolete planning laws that enable a myriad of do-gooders to delay plans while costly inquiries are held.
The new proposed new runway at Stansted airport is another case where by the time the go-ahead is finally given after several public inquiries costs will have spiraled from those originally planned.
Just a few days ago the London-based interim Olympic Delivery Authority, which is organizing the 2012 games, issued what's perhaps the most important tender of all: the one that will appoint the partner charged with delivering permanent venues and all the infrastructure required for the games, and for managing delivery, construction, maintenance and virtually everything else.
Whoever wins will need very thick skin to cope with being blamed for anything that goes wrong. That may sound negative, but it's only because experience tells us that big infrastructure projects always get delayed in the U.K.
If it isn't workers holding out for more pay, it's staff shortages or things not being delivered on time. You only have to look at the new Wembley Stadium for the best example.
(Howard Wheeldon was a senior equities analyst for 20 years, and has been a columnist at Dow Jones for the past three years. He can be reached at +44 207-842-9251 or by e-mail:
howard.wheeldon@dowjones.com)